Johor shall remain Blue

Johor shall remain progressively and productively strong under Barisan Nasional (BN) as the voters decide tomorrow, amidst the many speculation the coalition party led by UMNO would get a massive hit and falter.

Menteri Besar Johor Dato’ Seri Khaled Nordin is optimistic that Johoreans shall decide to remain steady on course and for future to come, with the right strategy planned and a broad follow through and implementation already in good progress.

“MB Khaled promised delivered what he promised five years ago. His ratings for delivery and implementation have actually gone up”.

Our observation find that generally Johoreans are not bothered by over politicking, especially at national level.

Probably, it is because they have experienced the ‘Chinese Tsunami’ and BN already saw its worst performance in Johor GE.

One BN Division Chief who is defending his State Assembly seat said “We have 17,000 Chinese voters (in the Parliamentary constituency). If we can get only 4,000 votes from them, we are home free”.

During a walkabout in a pasar malam of a kampung off Parit Jawa, Muar MP and BN Division Chief Dato’ Razali Ibrahim is well liked by the folks, be it amongst the Malays, Chinese and Indians.

Razali whose home is in Seri Menanti, which is almost bordering Batu Pahat, has a well staffed service centre in Muar town.

“In a recent event of 1MDB CEO Arul Kanda’s roadshow on the lies and negative perception about the (business problem manipulated into a political scandal) the strategic investment firm, MCA managed to fill half the hall in UMNO building. And they asked questions!”.

PPBM Youth Chief Syed Saddiq Syed Abdul Rahman, who is hardly in Muar even in this XIV GE is attempting to wrest the traditional UMNO constituency from Razali.

Ledang BN Chief Dato’ Ir. Hamim Samuri also is at ease, when talked to about his Parliamentary constituency said “I have a service centre here in Tangkak. However, I don’t wait for (people to come with) problems. I go after problems!”.

Hamim speaks with a notable Muarian twang, is also well received by his constituents. He was observed at the only Friday prayer in this XIV GE in a Sengkang, near Bukit Gambir.

He was the amongst the last to leave.

PPBM President Tan Sri Muhyiddin Yassin is attempting to wrest the State Assembly seat, on top defending his Pagoh Parliamentary seat.

“He never served this constituency. It is unlikely they would vote him”.

Another observation worth considering about Johor is that the Opposition coalition, especially PPBM and PAN is very thin on grassroots election machinery.

“These Malay political hopefuls cannot even find a candidate’s polling agent for the PDMs (polling centres). You do realise, in an election especially a GE, you are in trouble if your machine is weak”.

Johor had been a traditional BN stronghold as UMNO was born in the state 72 years ago, this Friday.

“I predict status quo for BN Johor, if not better results”, said an astute observer. “The three corner fights would spread the Opposition resources thin”.

He also added “Muhyiddin was UMNO Deputy President and been at the helm of Pagoh UMNO Division since 1983 (then Muar-Pagoh). How was Pagoh UMNO affected with Muhyiddin’s sacking?”.

He is right. Muhyiddin’s unceremonious departure did not hurt Pagoh UMNO three years ago. If PAS never did well in Johor, how could PAN dent the traditional Malay seats.

“PKR is nowhere, especially when they have no PAS machinery to depend on. The fate of Opposition politics in Johor is only left to DAP”.

In the last GE, the former MB Johor Tan Sri Abdul Ghani Othman said then “If only 15% of the Chinese voted BN, Johor is Opposition free”.

Ghani, now Chairman of Sime Darby Plantations goes around quietly in Ledang and Pagoh to do his bid for this campaign.

Johor UMNO is known for the service to the Bangsa Johor. It is this track record is the basis of the optimism, not withstanding the polling centres analysis based on UMNO branches intel and head count.

A good example is this is the BN Seri Gading Parliamentary candidate Dato’ Aziz Kaprawi. He not only served the constituency which is in the out skirts of Batu Pahat town where 42% of the voters are Chinese, Aziz and previous Seri Gading brought so much development into this once a back water Java-nese centric kampung.

Aziz as the Deputy Minister of Transport got the High Spreed Railway (HSR) between Kuala Lumpur and Singapore stops at Pura Kencana, a village next to Parti Raja.

“An election is a game of numbers. If you had worked your constituency, you should know how your party stand”.

Political intel stated the high turn out at Opposition coalition is due massive ‘Groupie-Effect’.

“It is generally the same people moving around. Where can you get a high Chinese turn put at Opposition coalition rallies, especially in Malay majority areas?’, opined a true blue Johorean.

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Published in: on May 8, 2018 at 09:30  Leave a Comment  

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